Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | PRIN -165 YALE +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -3.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -2.5 (-4.5) | 143.3 (-13.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -3.0 (-5.0) | 145.5 (-15.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -2.9 (-4.9) | 144.5 (-14.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -2.6 (-4.6) | 144.8 (-14.8) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | YALE 78 – 53 PRIN |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRIN 76 – 60 YALE |
| Mar 15, 2025 | YALE 59 – 57 PRIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YALE 84 – 57 PRIN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | YALE 77 – 70 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-7 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 11-3 |
| Home | 13-1 | 10-3 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#108) | 1.1 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#87) | 0.41 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#101) | 0.46 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#81) | 0.553 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 14.2% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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