Long Beach State
Beach
71
–
72
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires Big West
Cal State Fullerton
Titans
Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +1 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUF -0.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -0.5 (-0.5) | 137.8 (+5.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -0.0 (-1.0) | 140.7 (+2.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -0.3 (-0.7) | 140.0 (+3.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -0.3 (-0.7) | 141.0 (+2.0) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 82 LBSU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | CSUF 71 – 61 LBSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CSUF 83 – 67 LBSU |
| Dec 6, 2024 | LBSU 73 – 56 CSUF |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CSUF 76 – 71 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 11-4 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#157) | 1.0 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#124) | 0.40 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#121) | 0.39 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#67) | 0.519 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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