Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +8 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -2.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -1.9 (-6.1) | 151.2 (-13.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -2.0 (-6.0) | 149.9 (-11.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -2.3 (-5.7) | 150.6 (-12.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -2.3 (-5.7) | 152.5 (-14.5) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 68 SELA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AMCC 68 – 56 SELA |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 54 SELA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | AMCC 80 – 71 SELA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | AMCC 80 – 68 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 7-7 |
| Home | 10-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#276) | -4.5 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#228) | -0.88 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#247) | -1.12 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#143) | 0.449 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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