Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +8 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -3.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -1.8 (+6.2) | 151.1 (+8.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -2.3 (+5.7) | 153.9 (+6.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -2.1 (+5.9) | 153.3 (+6.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -1.1 (+6.9) | 152.8 (+7.2) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | ARIZ 69 – 65 UCLA |
| Dec 14, 2024 | UCLA 57 – 54 ARIZ |
| Mar 8, 2024 | ARIZ 88 – 65 UCLA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ARIZ 77 – 71 UCLA |
| Mar 12, 2023 | ARIZ 61 – 59 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 15-5 |
| Home | 17-0 | 14-1 |
| Away | 9-3 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.0 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 64.5 |
| Massey | 21.2 (#2) | 17.9 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.85 (#1) | 3.13 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.44 (#2) | 3.92 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.642 (#2) | 0.625 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 41.4 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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