Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | NAVY +135 COLG -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAVY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -0.4 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -0.5 (-6.5) | 138.9 (+0.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -1.0 (-6.0) | 136.7 (+2.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -1.4 (-5.6) | 137.5 (+1.5) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -1.1 (-5.9) | 139.2 (-0.2) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NAVY 85 – 69 COLG |
| Feb 14, 2026 | NAVY 84 – 80 COLG |
| Feb 20, 2025 | COLG 79 – 75 NAVY |
| Feb 3, 2024 | COLG 88 – 64 NAVY |
| Jan 6, 2024 | COLG 80 – 72 NAVY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAVY | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-12 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#307) | -4.5 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#334) | -1.22 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.81 (#335) | -1.42 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.363 (#354) | 0.432 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAVY | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 14.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.