Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
Northwestern Wildcats
71 – 69
FINAL Neutral Conference Big Ten
Nebraska Cornhuskers
Big Ten Conference · Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Neutral) · March 9, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread NU -4.0 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money NU -190 / NEB +160
Model Predictions
Spread Total NU win
Actual NU +2 140 Won
Massey NU -7.1 (-5.1) — —
Massey Totals — 150.5 (-10.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 70% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 70% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NU -5.5 (-3.5) 149.1 (-9.1) 75% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML NU -5.2 (-3.2) 149.7 (-9.7) 71% ✓
Baseline ML NU -5.2 (-3.2) 149.3 (-9.3) 70% ✓
Baseline Plus ML NU -5.7 (-3.7) 152.2 (-12.2) 72% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 NEB 68 – 49 NU
Jan 17, 2026 NEB 77 – 58 NU
Feb 16, 2025 NEB 68 – 64 NU
Feb 8, 2024 NU 80 – 68 NEB
Jan 20, 2024 NEB 75 – 69 NU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NU NEB
Overall 15-16 10-22
Conference 7-13 4-16
Home 10-6 7-12
Away 3-8 3-8
Neutral 2-2 0-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.4 73.3
Avg Pts Against 70.6 78.5
Massey 8.3 (#67) 1.2 (#144)
Bradley-Terry 1.02 (#98) 0.15 (#160)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.35 (#93) 0.48 (#140)
RPI 0.505 (#166) 0.475 (#220)
Shooting & Four Factors NU NEB
FG% 42.3% 44.4%
3PT% 34.4% 32.2%
REB / G 35.9 33.1
OREB / G 9.7 7.4
AST / TO 1.57 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.9% 50.5%
TOV% 14.1% 17.2%
ORB% 25.7% 20.7%
FT Rate 18.4% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.8% 51.6%
Opp TOV% 19.5% 18.2%
DRB% 75.5% 68.5%
Opp FT Rate 25.3% 21.2%

Game Analysis

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