Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | NORF -2000 DSU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +8 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -18.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -16.4 (-8.4) | 140.2 (-0.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -16.7 (-8.7) | 137.4 (+2.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -16.9 (-8.9) | 136.2 (+3.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -17.4 (-9.4) | 140.5 (-0.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NORF 75 – 58 DSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NORF 66 – 64 DSU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NORF 96 – 84 DSU |
| Jan 6, 2025 | NORF 73 – 64 DSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DSU 85 – 71 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-7 | 2-26 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 0-14 |
| Home | 11-0 | 2-11 |
| Away | 7-6 | 0-13 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L25 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.6 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#172) | -19.2 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#150) | -5.09 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#156) | -6.46 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#133) | 0.363 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 25.7% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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