Betting Lines
| Spread | HCU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | HCU -210 UIW +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HCU +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | HCU -2.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HCU -2.3 (+7.7) | 143.8 (-5.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HCU -1.8 (+8.2) | 147.7 (-9.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HCU -2.1 (+7.9) | 147.5 (-9.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HCU -2.0 (+8.0) | 145.9 (-7.9) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | HCU 81 – 75 UIW |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UIW 73 – 56 HCU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UIW 74 – 64 HCU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | HCU 81 – 76 UIW |
| Feb 10, 2024 | HCU 86 – 83 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 3-11 |
| Home | 7-6 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#340) | -14.9 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#339) | -2.72 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.67 (#337) | -3.11 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#327) | 0.423 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.