Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | ORE -450 ORST +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +14 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -11.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -9.7 (+4.3) | 147.1 (+10.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -10.4 (+3.6) | 150.0 (+8.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -10.3 (+3.7) | 149.5 (+8.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -10.1 (+3.9) | 148.7 (+9.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2025 | ORE 87 – 75 ORST |
| Nov 22, 2024 | ORE 78 – 75 ORST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ORE 78 – 71 ORST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ORE 60 – 58 ORST |
| Feb 26, 2023 | ORE 69 – 67 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 1-19 |
| Home | 12-5 | 3-13 |
| Away | 6-6 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#72) | -2.9 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#68) | -1.55 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#69) | -1.25 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#63) | 0.430 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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