Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
| Money | EWU -350 NAU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +3 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -8.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -8.9 (-5.9) | 140.3 (+12.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -8.2 (-5.2) | 143.2 (+9.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -8.0 (-5.0) | 141.4 (+11.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -7.9 (-4.9) | 142.7 (+10.3) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | EWU 88 – 57 NAU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | NAU 92 – 86 EWU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | NAU 66 – 53 EWU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NAU 87 – 67 EWU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NAU 70 – 61 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-15 |
| Home | 9-3 | 5-10 |
| Away | 8-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#224) | -11.9 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#206) | -1.98 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#209) | -2.41 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#194) | 0.428 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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