Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -4.0 Push |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
| Money | TXSO -190 JKST +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +4 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -5.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -4.7 (-0.7) | 130.1 (-26.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -5.0 (-1.0) | 130.8 (-26.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -4.6 (-0.6) | 130.5 (-26.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -4.2 (-0.2) | 130.5 (-26.5) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 57 JKST |
| Jan 20, 2026 | JKST 94 – 89 TXSO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | JKST 67 – 52 TXSO |
| Jan 20, 2025 | TXSO 81 – 73 JKST |
| Mar 14, 2024 | TXSO 73 – 62 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-2 | 6-3 |
| Away | 8-10 | 5-15 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#205) | -7.3 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#224) | -1.48 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#222) | -1.86 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#192) | 0.457 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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