Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | PRST -210 IDST +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +14 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -5.8 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -4.0 (+10.0) | 136.3 (-18.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -5.0 (+9.0) | 138.7 (-20.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -4.8 (+9.2) | 138.4 (-20.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -5.1 (+8.9) | 139.2 (-21.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | PRST 85 – 78 IDST |
| Feb 3, 2026 | PRST 88 – 65 IDST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | PRST 93 – 87 IDST |
| Feb 21, 2025 | IDST 82 – 74 PRST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PRST 76 – 59 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-15 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-8 |
| Away | 5-9 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#277) | -12.5 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#276) | -2.15 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#260) | -2.25 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#303) | 0.390 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.