Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | NEV -280 UNM +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +7 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -1.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -3.8 (+3.2) | 149.7 (+1.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -2.1 (+4.9) | 151.4 (-0.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -2.7 (+4.3) | 150.9 (+0.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -2.2 (+4.8) | 151.5 (-0.5) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | NEV 67 – 60 UNM |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UNM 80 – 73 NEV |
| Mar 5, 2025 | UNM 71 – 67 NEV |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNM 82 – 81 NEV |
| Feb 14, 2024 | UNM 83 – 82 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-12 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#128) | 0.8 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#124) | 0.29 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#118) | 0.44 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#148) | 0.512 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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