Betting Lines
| Spread | SAC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | SAC -150 IDHO +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +3 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | SAC -1.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-33.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAC -1.9 (+1.1) | 143.7 (-32.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -2.1 (+0.9) | 146.1 (-35.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -3.0 (-0.0) | 146.8 (-35.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAC -2.3 (+0.7) | 145.8 (-34.8) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | IDHO 68 – 45 SAC |
| Feb 22, 2026 | IDHO 86 – 80 SAC |
| Jan 23, 2026 | IDHO 86 – 76 SAC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | IDHO 78 – 76 SAC |
| Jan 10, 2025 | IDHO 80 – 67 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 6-14 |
| Home | 6-8 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-9 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 80.3 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#315) | -11.3 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#298) | -1.77 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#286) | -1.98 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#307) | 0.419 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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