Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +25 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | MRST -3.7 (-28.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -2.0 (-27.0) | 139.6 (-10.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -2.6 (-27.6) | 140.0 (-11.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -2.5 (-27.5) | 140.2 (-11.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -2.0 (-27.0) | 140.7 (-11.7) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MRST 77 – 75 QUIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MRST 71 – 64 QUIN |
| Dec 29, 2025 | QUIN 64 – 58 MRST |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MRST 69 – 62 QUIN |
| Mar 8, 2024 | QUIN 73 – 64 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 7-6 | 8-7 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#194) | -5.1 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#217) | -0.91 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#212) | -1.16 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#210) | 0.435 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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