Cal State Northridge
Matadors
45
–
58
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires Big West
Cal State Bakersfield
Roadrunners
Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +13 | 103 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUB -4.2 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.3 (-24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -3.7 (-9.3) | 123.6 (-20.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -2.7 (-10.3) | 129.5 (-26.5) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -2.6 (-10.4) | 129.2 (-26.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -2.6 (-10.4) | 128.5 (-25.5) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CSUN 86 – 84 CSUB |
| Dec 5, 2025 | CSUN 87 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CSUN 88 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 12, 2025 | CSUB 94 – 90 CSUN |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 71 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 2-12 |
| Home | 4-11 | 5-7 |
| Away | 3-11 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -10.4 (#322) | -6.2 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#301) | -1.79 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#299) | -2.07 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#297) | 0.422 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 36.3% |
Game Analysis
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