South Dakota State
Jackrabbits
75
–
69
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Summit League
North Dakota State
Bison
Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -6.0 Push |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | SDST -270 NDSU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +6 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -7.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -5.8 (+0.2) | 151.7 (-7.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -6.2 (-0.2) | 153.7 (-9.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -6.1 (-0.1) | 151.9 (-7.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -5.9 (+0.1) | 153.3 (-9.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | NDSU 74 – 66 SDST |
| Jan 15, 2026 | NDSU 76 – 65 SDST |
| Feb 20, 2025 | NDSU 77 – 68 SDST |
| Jan 31, 2025 | SDST 72 – 62 NDSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SDST 78 – 61 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-0 | 12-3 |
| Away | 10-3 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.7 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#74) | 0.0 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#41) | 0.60 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.08 (#57) | 0.49 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#22) | 0.530 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.4% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 44.3% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.1% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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