Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -115 WRST -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +1 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -0.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -0.4 (-0.6) | 136.9 (+6.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -0.2 (-1.2) | 138.9 (+4.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -0.3 (-0.7) | 139.0 (+4.0) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -0.0 (-1.0) | 137.5 (+5.5) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | WRST 103 – 90 NKU |
| Mar 1, 2026 | WRST 92 – 91 NKU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WRST 88 – 80 NKU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NKU 80 – 76 WRST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WRST 78 – 70 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-7 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#196) | -1.0 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#210) | -0.47 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#220) | -0.44 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#197) | 0.497 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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