Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +12 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -9.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -9.2 (+2.8) | 139.0 (-13.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -11.3 (+0.7) | 142.9 (-16.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -10.2 (+1.8) | 144.3 (-18.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -10.8 (+1.2) | 141.2 (-15.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2025 | DEL 82 – 72 TOW |
| Feb 14, 2025 | TOW 75 – 70 DEL |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TOW 76 – 66 DEL |
| Feb 9, 2024 | DEL 74 – 62 TOW |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TOW 67 – 56 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 11-5 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.4 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#73) | 0.7 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#69) | 0.52 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#75) | 0.46 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#60) | 0.537 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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