Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | HAW -190 LBSU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -4.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -3.2 (-10.2) | 140.9 (-1.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -1.8 (-8.8) | 142.4 (-3.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -1.9 (-8.9) | 143.4 (-4.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -2.4 (-9.4) | 142.1 (-3.1) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LBSU 84 – 75 HAW |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HAW 89 – 82 LBSU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | HAW 62 – 60 LBSU |
| Dec 7, 2024 | LBSU 76 – 68 HAW |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HAW 73 – 65 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 12-3 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#159) | -0.4 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#191) | 0.48 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#184) | 0.64 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#204) | 0.527 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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