Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | SAC +220 UNCO -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +18 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -5.6 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -5.5 (-12.5) | 142.6 (-2.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -5.0 (-13.0) | 144.6 (-4.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -5.0 (-13.0) | 144.8 (-4.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -5.1 (-12.9) | 145.1 (-5.1) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | UNCO 95 – 79 SAC |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SAC 93 – 89 UNCO |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UNCO 77 – 61 SAC |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UNCO 68 – 64 SAC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UNCO 80 – 75 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 22-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 13-7 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#326) | -2.4 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#330) | -0.22 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#315) | -0.45 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#326) | 0.518 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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