Betting Lines
| Spread | CP -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Over |
| Money | CP -190 CSUN +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +5 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | CP -4.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.6 (+38.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CP -1.0 (-6.0) | 129.5 (+31.5) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -2.0 (-7.0) | 129.3 (+31.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CP -2.6 (-7.6) | 129.8 (+31.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CP -1.2 (-6.2) | 129.7 (+31.3) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | CSUN 97 – 96 CP |
| Jan 9, 2026 | CSUN 95 – 90 CP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | CSUN 89 – 85 CP |
| Dec 8, 2024 | CSUN 102 – 91 CP |
| Feb 9, 2024 | CSUN 78 – 65 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-21 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 3-13 |
| Home | 4-7 | 4-11 |
| Away | 2-12 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#312) | -10.2 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#310) | -1.77 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#300) | -2.12 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#316) | 0.426 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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