Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -200 UCR +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +10 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -6.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -4.8 (+5.2) | 124.7 (-2.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -4.3 (+5.7) | 122.5 (-0.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -4.8 (+5.2) | 124.1 (-2.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -5.5 (+4.5) | 124.9 (-2.9) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UCI 80 – 66 UCR |
| Dec 5, 2025 | UCI 73 – 60 UCR |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UCR 84 – 80 UCI |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UCI 81 – 57 UCR |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UCR 88 – 78 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-10 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 9-6 |
| Home | 9-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.4 | 64.3 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#116) | 0.5 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#130) | 0.44 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#133) | 0.24 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#111) | 0.525 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 78.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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