Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -5.0 Push |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -220 MCN +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +5 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -4.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (+21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -4.3 (+0.7) | 155.9 (+21.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -3.0 (+2.0) | 155.4 (+21.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -3.2 (+1.8) | 156.8 (+20.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -3.7 (+1.3) | 157.2 (+19.8) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MCN 76 – 66 SELA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 61 SELA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | MCN 88 – 82 SELA |
| Dec 31, 2024 | MCN 79 – 51 SELA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SELA 77 – 74 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-1 | 6-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 80.2 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#291) | -8.5 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#264) | -1.87 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#273) | -2.16 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#220) | 0.438 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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