Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | EWU +155 WEB -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -0.6 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.4 (-15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -0.1 (+7.9) | 155.7 (-13.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -0.9 (+8.9) | 158.4 (-16.4) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -1.2 (+9.2) | 157.6 (-15.6) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -1.2 (+9.2) | 156.3 (-14.3) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | EWU 84 – 79 WEB |
| Feb 14, 2026 | EWU 84 – 66 WEB |
| Jan 16, 2026 | WEB 91 – 80 EWU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WEB 66 – 64 EWU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | EWU 72 – 49 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-11 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#225) | 0.9 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#231) | 0.86 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#233) | 0.95 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#217) | 0.523 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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