Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | MONT -800 NAU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAU +5 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -11.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -9.3 (-14.3) | 136.5 (+2.5) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -9.7 (-14.7) | 140.5 (-1.5) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -9.8 (-14.8) | 141.5 (-2.5) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -10.2 (-15.2) | 139.4 (-0.4) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2026 | MONT 98 – 72 NAU |
| Jan 1, 2026 | MONT 78 – 64 NAU |
| Mar 10, 2025 | MONT 74 – 65 NAU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MONT 83 – 80 NAU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | MONT 81 – 76 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-15 |
| Home | 14-3 | 5-10 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#231) | -11.3 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#173) | -1.85 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#183) | -2.36 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#172) | 0.430 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 28.7 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 17.5% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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