Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | NWST -250 HCU +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HCU +7 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | NWST -5.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -3.8 (-10.8) | 149.1 (-4.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -4.0 (-11.0) | 153.8 (-8.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -4.0 (-11.0) | 155.0 (-10.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -4.0 (-11.0) | 153.1 (-8.1) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | NWST 71 – 53 HCU |
| Jan 20, 2026 | HCU 82 – 80 NWST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NWST 61 – 56 HCU |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NWST 64 – 57 HCU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NWST 86 – 73 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 6-8 |
| Home | 6-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.6 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#334) | -13.9 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#322) | -2.55 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#316) | -3.05 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#289) | 0.395 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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