Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | EIU +360 TNTC -475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +11 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | TNTC -10.8 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -8.2 (-2.8) | 133.4 (+1.6) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -8.5 (-2.5) | 131.5 (+3.5) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -9.4 (-1.6) | 131.6 (+3.4) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -9.3 (-1.7) | 133.0 (+2.0) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | EIU 60 – 54 TNTC |
| Jan 9, 2026 | EIU 71 – 61 TNTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TNTC 59 – 54 EIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | TNTC 69 – 64 EIU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | TNTC 75 – 67 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 7-10 |
| Home | 4-9 | 7-7 |
| Away | 1-16 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 54.3 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -18.2 (#356) | -4.3 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.07 (#351) | -1.99 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.77 (#352) | -2.21 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.359 (#352) | 0.406 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 24.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 20.4% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 14.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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