Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
| Money | OMA +230 SDAK -280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +22 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | SDAK -7.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -7.9 (-14.1) | 148.3 (+11.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -6.4 (-15.6) | 151.6 (+8.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -6.6 (-15.4) | 153.7 (+6.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -6.8 (-15.2) | 152.1 (+7.9) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | OMA 76 – 62 SDAK |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SDAK 89 – 72 OMA |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SDAK 68 – 64 OMA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OMA 100 – 75 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OMA 93 – 85 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-7 |
| Home | 5-9 | 12-4 |
| Away | 0-15 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.4 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -15.0 (#352) | -4.8 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.69 (#344) | -0.48 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.63 (#349) | -0.73 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#335) | 0.462 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 78.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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