Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
| Money | STMN -280 UND +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +8 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | STMN -10.4 (-18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -8.7 (-16.7) | 147.5 (+0.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -8.6 (-16.6) | 150.7 (-2.7) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -8.2 (-16.2) | 150.6 (-2.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -7.7 (-15.7) | 150.6 (-2.6) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UND 67 – 66 STMN |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UND 81 – 80 STMN |
| Jan 16, 2026 | STMN 91 – 80 UND |
| Mar 9, 2025 | STMN 85 – 69 UND |
| Feb 28, 2025 | STMN 86 – 71 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 2-16 |
| Home | 5-8 | 4-11 |
| Away | 3-12 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#284) | -14.2 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#302) | -2.85 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#283) | -3.92 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#296) | 0.371 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 28.6 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.2% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.