Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
| Money | UVU -120 GCU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +10 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -1.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.4 (+20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -0.2 (-10.2) | 129.5 (+18.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -2.8 (-12.8) | 130.8 (+17.2) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -2.5 (-12.5) | 131.8 (+16.2) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -2.9 (-12.9) | 132.0 (+16.0) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 16, 2025 | GCU 89 – 82 UVU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | GCU 75 – 57 UVU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UVU 72 – 64 GCU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | GCU 86 – 67 UVU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | GCU 78 – 65 UVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 23-8 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-2 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 62.0 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#112) | 5.2 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#113) | 1.17 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#105) | 1.18 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#98) | 0.534 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 43.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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