Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
| Money | SIUE +100 UTM -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +8 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -3.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -2.6 (+5.4) | 138.4 (-4.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -1.4 (+6.6) | 140.1 (-6.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -1.3 (+6.7) | 139.5 (-5.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -1.5 (+6.5) | 141.1 (-7.1) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UTM 81 – 76 SIUE |
| Jan 16, 2026 | UTM 65 – 59 SIUE |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UTM 76 – 71 SIUE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTM 85 – 82 SIUE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UTM 90 – 79 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-8 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#293) | -7.9 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#321) | -1.82 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#326) | -2.19 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#318) | 0.425 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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