Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -15.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -1700 UIW +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +11 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -15.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -12.4 (-1.4) | 143.6 (-16.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -12.0 (-1.0) | 145.9 (-18.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -12.4 (-1.4) | 146.2 (-19.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -12.1 (-1.1) | 144.1 (-17.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NICH 91 – 83 UIW |
| Dec 6, 2025 | NICH 74 – 67 UIW |
| Mar 11, 2025 | NICH 74 – 70 UIW |
| Jan 14, 2025 | NICH 88 – 82 UIW |
| Feb 27, 2024 | NICH 92 – 82 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 3-11 |
| Home | 11-1 | 5-10 |
| Away | 7-8 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#202) | -14.1 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#227) | -2.83 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#239) | -3.10 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#173) | 0.407 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 13.1% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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