Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | DREX -115 HOF -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +10 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | DREX -1.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -0.0 (-10.0) | 144.0 (+12.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -0.8 (-10.8) | 147.1 (+8.9) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -0.2 (-10.2) | 148.1 (+7.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -0.4 (-10.4) | 147.8 (+8.2) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | HOF 62 – 51 DREX |
| Jan 3, 2026 | HOF 70 – 67 DREX |
| Jan 20, 2025 | DREX 60 – 55 HOF |
| Feb 23, 2024 | HOF 69 – 57 DREX |
| Feb 16, 2024 | DREX 79 – 77 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#144) | 3.0 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#157) | 1.00 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#163) | 1.09 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#174) | 0.577 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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