Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | CCU +100 GAST -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GAST +11 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | CCU -6.9 (-17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-28.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -4.4 (-15.4) | 138.5 (-27.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -4.1 (-15.1) | 138.9 (-27.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -4.1 (-15.1) | 138.4 (-27.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -3.8 (-14.8) | 137.9 (-26.9) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | CCU 76 – 71 GAST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GAST 89 – 71 CCU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CCU 80 – 74 GAST |
| Jan 11, 2025 | GAST 79 – 74 CCU |
| Feb 22, 2024 | GAST 72 – 71 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 9-5 |
| Home | 13-7 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#155) | -3.2 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#177) | -0.48 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#175) | -0.33 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#185) | 0.459 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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