Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | LONG -300 UPST +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +13 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -10.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -9.7 (+3.3) | 144.3 (+12.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -10.1 (+2.9) | 147.4 (+9.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -9.9 (+3.1) | 148.1 (+8.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -10.0 (+3.0) | 145.4 (+11.6) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LONG 82 – 75 UPST |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UPST 65 – 60 LONG |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LONG 83 – 66 UPST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LONG 80 – 54 UPST |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UPST 69 – 64 LONG |
Game Analysis
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