Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | CMU +700 OHIO -1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +9 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | OHIO -14.1 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -13.6 (+4.6) | 142.2 (+10.8) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -11.9 (+2.9) | 142.7 (+10.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -11.2 (+2.2) | 143.8 (+9.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -12.2 (+3.2) | 142.7 (+10.3) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | OHIO 80 – 64 CMU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | OHIO 84 – 82 CMU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | OHIO 57 – 55 CMU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | OHIO 73 – 61 CMU |
| Feb 18, 2023 | OHIO 76 – 59 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 2-9 | 15-2 |
| Away | 5-11 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -12.1 (#335) | 5.2 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#273) | 1.95 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#289) | 2.08 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#256) | 0.579 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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