Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +11 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -8.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -7.8 (-3.2) | 140.3 (-7.3) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -6.9 (-4.1) | 138.5 (-5.5) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -7.2 (-3.8) | 139.3 (-6.3) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -7.6 (-3.4) | 139.1 (-6.1) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LAF 70 – 69 COLG |
| Dec 31, 2025 | COLG 85 – 77 LAF |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LAF 76 – 61 COLG |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COLG 90 – 67 LAF |
| Feb 19, 2024 | COLG 67 – 62 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 16-2 |
| Home | 6-9 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#320) | 1.4 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#325) | -0.76 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.52 (#323) | -0.59 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#301) | 0.473 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 12.9% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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