I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
Big Ten Conference · Pinnacle Bank Arena · January 27, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WIS -7.5 Away covered
O/U 145.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total NEB win
Actual WIS +8 138 Lost
Massey WIS -9.9 (+1.9) — —
Massey Totals — 150.3 (-12.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 3% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 3% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WIS -10.3 (+2.3) 148.3 (-10.3) 15% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WIS -10.5 (+2.5) 149.6 (-11.6) 16% ✓
Baseline ML WIS -10.5 (+2.5) 149.4 (-11.4) 15% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WIS -10.0 (+2.0) 149.5 (-11.5) 15% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 11, 2025 NEB 90 – 60 WIS
Jan 26, 2025 WIS 83 – 55 NEB
Feb 2, 2024 NEB 80 – 72 WIS
Jan 6, 2024 WIS 88 – 72 NEB
Feb 11, 2023 NEB 73 – 63 WIS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NEB WIS
Overall 10-22 25-8
Conference 4-16 15-5
Home 7-12 12-4
Away 3-8 9-2
Neutral 0-2 4-2
Last 5 0-5 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.3 69.9
Avg Pts Against 78.5 66.0
Massey -1.7 (#203) 11.7 (#28)
Bradley-Terry -0.49 (#216) 3.55 (#5)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.12 (#179) 4.11 (#9)
RPI 0.472 (#209) 0.660 (#3)
Shooting & Four Factors NEB WIS
FG% 43.6% 42.5%
3PT% 29.8% 32.1%
REB / G 33.6 35.3
OREB / G 7.7 9.9
AST / TO 1.05 1.38
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.3% 48.5%
TOV% 17.2% 12.5%
ORB% 20.6% 27.2%
FT Rate 22.6% 25.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.8% 49.5%
Opp TOV% 20.3% 17.6%
DRB% 66.6% 73.5%
Opp FT Rate 19.5% 17.3%

Game Analysis

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