Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +14 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | FSU -5.4 (+19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -4.0 (+18.0) | 139.4 (-3.4) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -5.1 (+19.1) | 139.6 (-3.6) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -4.9 (+18.9) | 140.5 (-4.5) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -5.1 (+19.1) | 141.3 (-5.3) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FSU 80 – 71 GT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | FSU 91 – 78 GT |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GT 85 – 76 FSU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | FSU 82 – 71 GT |
| Mar 7, 2023 | GT 61 – 60 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-10 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#172) | 8.3 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#200) | 1.99 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#185) | 2.07 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#228) | 0.595 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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