Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +17 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | IU -8.6 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -7.1 (+9.9) | 131.7 (-0.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -6.9 (+10.1) | 131.7 (-0.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -7.0 (+10.0) | 132.5 (-1.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -6.9 (+10.1) | 130.7 (+0.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2025 | IU 113 – 72 PSU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | IU 83 – 78 PSU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | IU 77 – 71 PSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | IU 61 – 59 PSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PSU 83 – 74 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#35) | 6.1 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#51) | 1.17 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#46) | 1.52 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#52) | 0.550 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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