Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +1 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -2.7 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (+21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -3.2 (+2.2) | 147.5 (+29.5) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -1.7 (+0.7) | 150.5 (+26.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -2.3 (+1.3) | 151.6 (+25.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -2.1 (+1.1) | 151.0 (+26.0) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | ILST 86 – 76 DRKE |
| Dec 30, 2025 | ILST 73 – 56 DRKE |
| Feb 13, 2025 | DRKE 84 – 77 ILST |
| Jan 16, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 62 ILST |
| Jan 18, 2024 | DRKE 77 – 56 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 1-11 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-6 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#164) | 6.1 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#235) | 0.63 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#221) | 0.62 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#234) | 0.523 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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