Betting Lines
| Spread | CIT -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +2 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | CIT -6.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.2 (-27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIT -3.4 (-1.4) | 157.3 (-23.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIT -4.1 (-2.1) | 153.9 (-19.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIT -4.1 (-2.1) | 154.6 (-20.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIT -3.8 (-1.8) | 156.2 (-22.2) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | WCU 87 – 49 CIT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CIT 79 – 77 WCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | WCU 76 – 73 CIT |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WCU 80 – 78 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WCU 71 – 64 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-9 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#250) | -7.8 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#248) | -0.60 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#258) | -0.86 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#227) | 0.466 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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