Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +15 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -9.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -9.4 (+5.6) | 152.6 (-9.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -9.9 (+5.1) | 154.8 (-11.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -9.6 (+5.4) | 155.1 (-12.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -9.8 (+5.2) | 154.8 (-11.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | FUR 90 – 72 VMI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | FUR 69 – 48 VMI |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FUR 75 – 71 VMI |
| Jan 22, 2025 | VMI 91 – 82 FUR |
| Feb 15, 2024 | FUR 75 – 62 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#76) | 1.0 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#89) | 0.04 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#99) | 0.19 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#69) | 0.514 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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