Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -7.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -6.4 (+4.6) | 134.0 (-3.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -6.3 (+4.7) | 140.6 (-9.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -6.3 (+4.7) | 140.7 (-9.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -6.4 (+4.6) | 137.6 (-6.6) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WOF 81 – 55 UTC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UTC 76 – 67 WOF |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTC 79 – 70 WOF |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UTC 83 – 81 WOF |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UTC 75 – 57 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 12-4 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#57) | 4.6 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#53) | 0.29 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#63) | 0.43 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#29) | 0.499 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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