Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | LAS -0.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -0.0 (-6.0) | 148.3 (-0.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -0.6 (-6.6) | 154.1 (-6.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -0.2 (-6.2) | 153.9 (-5.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -0.5 (-5.5) | 151.9 (-3.9) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2025 | LAS 78 – 71 MASS |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MASS 78 – 55 LAS |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MASS 82 – 60 LAS |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LAS 82 – 81 MASS |
| Jan 11, 2024 | MASS 81 – 65 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#253) | -1.2 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#270) | -0.16 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#278) | -0.13 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#289) | 0.492 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 40.2% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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