Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +5 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -10.3 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -8.8 (+3.8) | 133.2 (-10.2) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -10.1 (+5.1) | 137.7 (-14.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -9.3 (+4.3) | 137.6 (-14.6) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -9.7 (+4.7) | 136.6 (-13.6) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UNI 68 – 59 EVAN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNI 71 – 55 EVAN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UNI 62 – 48 EVAN |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UNI 73 – 56 EVAN |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UNI 70 – 63 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 14-4 |
| Home | 4-9 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.8 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#316) | 4.3 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#316) | -0.01 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#306) | 0.01 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#313) | 0.509 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 18.2% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 81.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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