Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | VAL +115 BRAD -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +15 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -2.1 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -2.8 (-12.2) | 136.2 (-9.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -1.7 (-13.3) | 139.4 (-12.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -2.0 (-13.0) | 140.2 (-13.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -1.9 (-13.1) | 137.7 (-10.7) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BRAD 90 – 84 VAL |
| Feb 19, 2026 | VAL 79 – 72 BRAD |
| Feb 4, 2026 | BRAD 72 – 65 VAL |
| Mar 8, 2025 | BRAD 70 – 65 VAL |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BRAD 76 – 65 VAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAL | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 65.2 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#183) | 4.8 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#203) | -0.30 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#201) | -0.16 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#203) | 0.486 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAL | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 19.4% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.