Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +2 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | UML -5.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -3.0 (-5.0) | 128.7 (-2.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -3.5 (-5.5) | 128.9 (-2.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UML -3.4 (-5.4) | 129.9 (-3.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -3.1 (-5.1) | 130.1 (-4.1) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UML 81 – 76 UALB |
| Feb 8, 2026 | UML 89 – 79 UALB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UML 83 – 71 UALB |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UALB 90 – 88 UML |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UML 73 – 69 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 4-8 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#256) | -6.8 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#258) | -1.34 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#279) | -1.61 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#269) | 0.429 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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