Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIA +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | VT -7.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -5.4 (-8.4) | 133.6 (+19.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -4.2 (-7.2) | 136.3 (+16.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VT -4.2 (-7.2) | 138.0 (+15.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -3.7 (-6.7) | 135.0 (+18.0) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | MIA 67 – 66 VT |
| Feb 22, 2025 | VT 81 – 68 MIA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | VT 86 – 85 MIA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MIA 82 – 74 VT |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MIA 75 – 71 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#40) | 7.1 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#115) | 1.97 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#96) | 2.36 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#105) | 0.594 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.